Monthly Archives: September 2015

The Five Factors: Explaining Tennessee’s 28-27 loss to Florida

Advanced college football statisticians believe there are five factors that most accurately determine what teams win games: explosiveness, efficiency, field position, finishing drives, and turnover margin. They have come up with statistical formulas to measure those factors beyond what can be found in a typical box score. This season, we will be following Tennessee’s progress game-by-game using these formulas. The Vols’ figures for Saturday’s 28-27 loss to Florida follow. 

Explosiveness

Formula Explanation: Average yards per play

UT Offense: 6.0 yards per play

UT Defense: Allowed 5.5 yards per play Continue reading

The very post-game post-game blog: Vols suffer excruciating loss in The Swamp

WHAT HAPPENED: Florida scored two touchdowns in the last 4:09 to come back from a 27-14 deficit and Tennessee kicker Aaron Medley just missed a 55-yard field goal as time expired to give Florida a 28-27 win over the Vols in front of 90,527 at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium in Gainesville, Fla., on Saturday.

The devastating loss for the Vols extends Tennessee’s losing streak in the series to 11 games. The Vols fall to 2-2, 0-1 in the SEC. The Gators improve to 4-0, 2-0.

Florida scored first when running back Kelvin Taylor followed a 47-yard run with a 5-yard touchdown scamper. The Vols answered with 20 straight points to take control however.

The first score came on a gadget play. Vols quarterback Joshua Dobbs threw a backward lateral to wide receiver Jauan Jennings, a high school quarterback, who threw the ball back to Dobbs, who streaked down the right sideline for a 58-yard catch-and-run. Continue reading

In case you didn’t see this yet: Florida’s Jalen Tabor and Treon Harris suspended

Florida quarterback Treon Harris and cornerback Jalen Tabor have been suspended from Saturday’s game against Tennessee because of “some choices they made.” Florida coach Jim McElwain announced the suspensions after practice Wednesday.

Harris led the Gators to both of their scores in a 10-9 win last season. Tabor had a strip sack in that game.

Butch Jones transcript

From UT sports info:

(Opening statement)
“Good to see everyone. Just to kind of finish up with the Western Carolina game then moving forward to this week: After watching the video and really reviewing the week of preparation, I really liked the way our players approached the week of preparation and the game. I spoke about them on Saturday night with their business-like approach. They had great energy, and they wanted to get out there and compete for 60 minutes. That was everything that we stressed, and our players did everything that we asked of them. In terms of winning the football game, we followed the plan to win. There is so much that goes into playing winning football and following that plan to win. So many things go into it. Our first down efficiency was 72 percent, with over 80 percent in the first half. Defensively, we had them in third-and-long a number of times throughout the game. We were able to get off the field, defensively. That is a byproduct of winning first down and winning mixed owns and getting back to that first down efficiency. In the turnover margin, we didn’t turn the ball over. Anytime you don’t turn the football over, that presents you the opportunity to win the football game. We took the ball away on defense, and I thought we were opportunistic. We took advantage with our field position. I thought we had big splash plays, particularly in the return game. We played discipline football. We only had three penalties, which has kind of become a staple of what we believe in, in terms of being disciplined. Some things on third down on offense, our overall tackling, leveraging the football; those are things we will constantly strive to compete upon, approve upon and compete at a high level. Continue reading

The Five Factors: Explaining Tennessee’s 55-10 win over Western Carolina

Advanced college football statisticians believe there are five factors that most accurately determine what teams win games: explosiveness, efficiency, field position, finishing drives, and turnover margin. They have come up with statistical formulas to measure those factors beyond what can be found in a typical box score. This season, we will be following Tennessee’s progress game-by-game using these formulas. The Vols’ figures for Saturday’s 55-10 win over Western Carolina and season totals follow.

Explosiveness

Formula Explanation: Average yards per play

UT Offense: 5.7 yards per play

UT Defense: Allowed 5.1 yards per play

Season

UT Offense: 5.4 yards per play

UT Defense: Allowed 5.2 yards per play

Commentary:The Vols only had four offensive plays over 20 yards, but that included an impressive 49-yard pass from freshman Quinten Dormady to freshman Preston Williams. Western Carolina’s Detrez Newsome had runs of 64 yards and 44 yards. Take out those plays, and Western Carolina averaged 3.2 yards per play.  Continue reading

Vols fourth among teams also receiving votes in coaches’ Top 25

Tennessee’s 55-10 win over Football Championship Subdivision opponent Western Carolina wasn’t enough to get the Vols back in the USA Today Coaches Top 25, but the Vols were fourth among teams also receiving votes.

Tennessee had 49 points in the poll, which was 30 points short of No. 25 Auburn. West Virginia (75), Brigham Young (74) and Miami, Fla. (58) also stood in between the Vols and the Top 25.

The positioning of the SEC teams in the poll changed significantly thanks to Ole Miss’s win over Alabama and LSU’s win over Auburn. Ole Miss moved up six spots to No. 5 and Georgia moved up two spots to No. 6. LSU moved up five spots to No. 9. Alabama fell 10 spots to No. 12, and Auburn fell 10 spots to No. 25. Texas A&M went up three spots to No. 15 and Missouri fell three spots to No. 23.

Tennessee pounds Western Carolina 55-10

WHAT HAPPENED: Tennessee took a 41-3 lead into halftime and rolled to a 55-10 victory over Football Championship Subdivision foe Western Carolina 55-10 in front of 102,136 on Saturday night at Neyland Stadium.

The Vols improved to 2-1. The Catamounts fell to 1-2.

Tennessee scored 34 unanswered points to start the game. Junior quarterback Joshua Dobbs started the scoring with a 25-yard touchdown pass to freshman wide receiver Preston Williams. Sophomore kicker Aaron Medley made a pair of field goals in that stretch. Sophomore Jalen Hurd rushed for one touchdown and caught another and sophomore Alvin Kamara rushed for  2-yard touchdown score.  Continue reading

Butch Jones transcript

From UT sports info:

(Opening Statement)
“Good to see everyone. We had a couple days of very good practice, working to improve in everything: the fundamentals, the technique, the fine details to winning. I’ve liked the mentality of our players. I know we’re looking forward to competing Saturday evening in 102,455. So, I’ll answer any questions you may have.”

(On Jalen Reeves-Maybin’s improvement)
“I think the best thing I could say is just an overall maturation process. He has really worked himself into what I feel is one of the best linebackers not only in the SEC, but in the country. He’s very active, athletic. He’s improved his strength levels. He’s been committed to the weight room. He’s developed into one of our team leaders. He works very, very hard at his craft. Not only is he excelling on defense for us, but on special teams as well. He would start on every single unit, but obviously we need him also on defense, so we pick our spots with him in terms of the special teams game. He takes his role and his responsibility very seriously. You could see that, a number of tackles on our punt team last week. He means everything to our football team and to our defense. I can’t say enough of his development. He’s one of the guys I greatly admire and respect, just because of his attitude, his character, and everything he brings to Tennessee football.”

(On balancing a hurry-up offense with protecting a lead and keeping the defense fresh)
“It’s a balancing act. Sometimes you do have to protect your defense. Sometimes if they’ve been on the field for an extended period of time, you have to keep them on the sideline. That’s when we talk about playing complementary football. It’s all three phases. When you look at our special teams game in Trevor Daniel and the ability to flip field position, I thought he was one of those unnoticed, unspoken about advantages that we had in terms of flipping field position Saturday night. We’re going to need more of that. But also, you can never sacrifice just your overall execution and playing to your style of play offensively. So it is a balancing act.” Continue reading