Signing Day 2013: Updated odds for all of Tennessee’s targets

jaylen-miller-247.jpgKNOXVILLE, Tennessee — We made some minor changes to the list, tweaking a few percentages slightly. I also added four-star WR Shelton Richardson, a West Virginia commitment who I had forgotten to include on the first installment.

The Chongo Kondolo situation remains unclear. JC Shurburtt tweeted Monday that the juco offensive lineman had committed to the Vols, but apparently no one has been able to reach him to confirm that. Because of that, I don’t believe he has been added to the commitment list on either 247 or Rivals.

Defensive end Joe Sanders will soon be off the commitment list, as he is likely bound for juco or prep school. So, if Kondolo is actually in the fold, Tennessee has 17 commitments (including five early enrollees).

(Photo above is of Jaylen Miller, courtesy KNS partner 247)

The assumption had long been that Tennessee coaches would take the maximum they could sign (which is 27, including two counted back to 2012). That seems virtually impossible to happen now. Even if there are many fallback options waiting in the wings — and there may be — it’s hard to envision a scenario in which the Vols could get to 27. But we shall see. There’s still a week until National Signing Day.

Remaining targets with 247 Composite Ranking and odds of signing with UT:

3-star DL Jaylen Miller. Everyone thought he’d be committed to UT by now. He’s not, but he could just be milking the drama to Signing Day. 70 PERCENT . Will announce on NSD.

5-star DB Vonn Bell. Visited UT last weekend and seems likely to decide between UT and Alabama. Don’t forget about Ohio State, though. Bell grew up UT fan and seems comfortable with Jones and staff. 60 PERCENT. Will announce on NSD.

4-star WR MarQuez North. It’s been a UT-UNC battle for a while, and the Charlotte native hasn’t tipped his hand. Absent other information, we’ll keep it even. 50 PERCENT. Will announce on NSD at 9 a.m.

5-star DE Carl Lawson. UT felt good about its standing, but he’s an Auburn commit and Auburn is getting last shot this weekend. Don’t forget about Clemson, either. 35 PERCENT. Will not hold a press conference. Could make decision early next week.

4-star LB E.J. Levenberry. FSU commit. His visit to UT last weekend was canceled due to weather and his case of the flu. He seems flippable but is there enough time before National Signing Day? 25 PERCENT. No current announcement planned, as he remains an FSU commit.

4-star RB Johnathan “Rudy” Ford. He officially decommitted from Vandy. Now it’s between Auburn and UT, but most think AU has the edge. 25 PERCENT. No known announcement time.

4- star DE Davin Bellamy. Bellamy raved
about his UT visit but now seems to favor Georgia. He officially decommitted from Florida State Tuesday and said he will choose between Tennessee, Georgia and Oregon. We moved him up slightly because FSU is no longer a potential competitor.
25 PERCENT. He is likely to announce on NSD.

4-star QB Joshua Dobbs. Arizona State commit visited UT last weekend. He’s super-smart and wants to study aerospace engineering. He’s from suburban Atlanta, but distance doesn’t seem to be an issue. 20 PERCENT. No new announcement currently planned.

3-star DE Malik Brown: He’s a Syracuse commit, but he’s from south Florida, so he may not fully realize what he’s signed up for. Tennessee seems like an easy sell, right? Especially since coaches are putting on the full-court press. If he comes to Knoxville for a visit this weekend, we’ll move him to 50 percent or higher. Until then…. 20 PERCENT . No announcement currently planned.

3-star LB Jonathan Walton: Visited UT earlier in January, but looks like he’s deciding between Auburn and South Carolina. 15 PERCENT. He’s said he would like to make a decision this week.

4-star LB Trey Johnson. He took “secret trip” to UT this weekend, but it looks like he’s sticking with his commitment to Ohio State. (I bumped Johnson’s odds a tad because he seemed so heavily invested in keeping the visit from getting out that he even retweeted a report that he wasn’t visiting. So he went to great lengths to avoid spooking OSU. Does that mean anything?) 15 PERCENT .

3-star RB Aregeros Turner: Former Cincy commit. He hasn’t visited yet, but could be a fall-back option that UT ends up turning to. If UT wants him, the Vols could probably get him. 15 PERCENT.

4-star WR Tyler Boyd. Briefly considered UT, but now says he’s sticking with Pitt. End of story, right? Maybe not. One story suggests Boyd is still agonizing over his decision and may visit Tennessee this weekend. But there’s another suitor in the mix. Boyd also visited West Virginia, where he has close friends on the team. Boyd still might be a long shot, but he no longer seems like an impossibility. 10 PERCENT .

4-star WR Shelton Gibson. He seemed to briefly waver from his commitment to West Virginia after a visit to UT earlier this month, but stayed with the Mountaineers. Tight ends coach Mark Elder may have made a last push for Gibson earlier this week. 10 PERCENT.

3-star RB Peyton Barber. Ole Miss commit from Georgia visited UT on Jan. 18. May visit Miami this weekend. Hasn’t yet wavered from Ole Miss. 5 PERCENT .

3-star LB Skai Moore. Previously committed to Rutgers, but opened it back up. Hasn’t visited UT yet, and South Carolina and Arkansas are also after him to make a late visit, so it may be too late to get into mix. But any team that manages to get him in for a late visit has a chance. 5 PERCENT.

3-star DL Antonio Riles. Canceled last weekend’s trip due to weather. No plans to reschedule. Florida commit. 5 PERCENT.

4-star LB Zach Cunningham. He didn’t come to UT as planned on Sunday, and it looks like this ship has sailed. 2 PERCENT . Will announce on NSD between Auburn, Oregon and Vandy.

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